Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Washe on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schwartz wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 52.9% vs Washe 54.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 83.7%
Defensive zone
Washe 70.9%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 52.0%
Result
Tim Washe favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Schwartz
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schwartz
Washe
Last 5: Schwartz 1-4 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
0
Schwartz
Washe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
4
Schwartz
Washe
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
59.2% (250)
+1.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
100.0% (3)
-46.7%
On power play, Washe has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Schwartz shoots left. Washe is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Washe
Home
71.4% (21)
62.0% (129)
Away
50.0% (32)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Schwartz
Washe
P1
60.9%
57.7%
P2
69.2%
60.4%
P3
47.1%
53.4%
Final 5 min
76.9%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Washe
50.0%▼
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Tim Washe |