Scouting Report
Tom Wandell holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Marner wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 42.7% vs Wandell 44.0% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Marner 55.5%
Defensive zone
Wandell 54.5%
Neutral zone
Marner 50.1%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Marner
Wandell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (496)
42.9% (791)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
51.3% (39)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (65)
42.1% (38)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Wandell has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Marner shoots right. Wandell is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Marner
Wandell
Home
38.0% (321)
41.2% (413)
Away
45.7% (258)
45.3% (457)
By Period
Marner
Wandell
P1
38.7%
45.1%
P2
41.5%
41.2%
P3
45.5%
44.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.3%