Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 51.3% vs Jost 47.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 51.9%
Defensive zone
Jost 66.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 56.6%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Nosek
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nosek
Jost
Last 5: Nosek 2-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
1
Nosek
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Nosek
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Nosek
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (355)
47.7% (287)
+5.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
62.5% (8)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (25)
39.2% (51)
+4.8%
On power play, Jost has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nosek is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Nosek shoots left. Jost is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Nosek
Jost
Home
52.8% (214)
49.5% (190)
Away
50.3% (173)
43.6% (156)
By Period
Nosek
Jost
P1
54.2%
43.2%
P2
53.1%
52.5%
P3
46.4%
44.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
51.7%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |