Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 55.1% vs Plekanec 50.5% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 57.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 71.6%
Neutral zone
Boyle 65.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Boyle
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boyle
Plekanec
Last 5: Boyle 4-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (287)
51.5% (701)
+4.2%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
47.1% (121)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (71)
48.6% (138)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Boyle is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Boyle shoots left. Plekanec is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Boyle
Plekanec
Home
58.5% (205)
51.4% (473)
Away
54.0% (176)
49.8% (488)
By Period
Boyle
Plekanec
P1
60.0%
50.7%
P2
54.9%
50.7%
P3
55.3%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
56.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |