Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Plekanec 49.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 67.9%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 66.0%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 65.7%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Backes
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backes
Plekanec
Last 6: Backes 1-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Backes
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
3
Backes
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Backes
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
50.8% (1,214)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
50.5% (190)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
41.8% (153)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Plekanec is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Backes
Plekanec
Home
55.3% (524)
52.1% (760)
Away
54.0% (606)
47.8% (797)
By Period
Backes
Plekanec
P1
53.2%
51.3%
P2
54.2%
47.2%
P3
57.1%
51.9%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | David Backes |