Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 55.5% vs Plekanec 49.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 82.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 82.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 88.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Pavelski
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Pavelski
Plekanec
Last 10: Pavelski 9-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
0
Pavelski
Plekanec
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (785)
50.8% (1,214)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.7% (201)
50.5% (190)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (161)
41.8% (153)
+10.4%
On power play, Pavelski has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Pavelski shoots right. Plekanec is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Plekanec
Home
58.1% (580)
52.1% (760)
Away
53.8% (567)
47.8% (797)
By Period
Pavelski
Plekanec
P1
53.4%
51.3%
P2
58.6%
47.2%
P3
56.4%
51.9%
OT
36.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |