Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Plekanec 53.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 69.5%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 77.7%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 53.6%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Pavelski
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Pavelski
Plekanec
Last 7: Pavelski 2-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
3
Pavelski
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Pavelski
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
53.3% (1,007)
-0.1%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
71.4% (21)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
51.4% (208)
+3.9%
On power play, Plekanec has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Plekanec is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Plekanec
Home
56.1% (421)
52.2% (628)
Away
53.9% (490)
54.4% (608)
By Period
Pavelski
Plekanec
P1
57.1%
55.6%
P2
55.8%
54.4%
P3
52.5%
49.9%
OT
44.4%
63.6%
Final 5 min
60.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |