Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bailey wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 49.7% vs Plekanec 48.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 63.2%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 66.5%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 56.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Bailey
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Bailey
Plekanec
Last 10: Bailey 4-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
4
Bailey
Plekanec
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (170)
47.1% (1,214)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
60.2% (128)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
46.6% (371)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Bailey shoots left. Plekanec is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,009).
Home / Away
Bailey
Plekanec
Home
51.3% (156)
49.4% (853)
Away
45.8% (72)
46.6% (860)
By Period
Bailey
Plekanec
P1
50.0%
49.5%
P2
45.6%
46.7%
P3
52.9%
48.0%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
49.6%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |