Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Elias wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 45.8% vs Plekanec 50.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 73.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 75.9%
Neutral zone
Elias 74.0%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Elias
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Elias
Plekanec
Last 10: Elias 3-7 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Elias
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Elias
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
5
Elias
Plekanec
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (407)
51.0% (1,016)
-6.5%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
49.0% (206)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
46.3% (307)
+0.5%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Elias is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Elias shoots left. Plekanec is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (945).
Home / Away
Elias
Plekanec
Home
44.8% (252)
53.3% (836)
Away
45.1% (246)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Elias
Plekanec
P1
43.0%
54.4%
P2
47.8%
44.5%
P3
43.4%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
68.2%
Final 5 min
44.5%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
45.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 6, 2011 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 6, 2011 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |