Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 53.0% vs Plekanec 50.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 78.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 63.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Stastny
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stastny
Plekanec
Last 6: Stastny 5-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
1
Stastny
Plekanec
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,107)
51.0% (1,016)
+1.2%
Power Play
61.0% (254)
49.0% (206)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
46.3% (307)
+0.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Stastny shoots left. Plekanec is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (945).
Home / Away
Stastny
Plekanec
Home
52.5% (785)
53.3% (836)
Away
53.9% (739)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Stastny
Plekanec
P1
51.3%
54.4%
P2
55.2%
44.5%
P3
52.6%
50.4%
OT
62.5%
68.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |