Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.8% vs 38.5%). Mantha wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tatar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mantha 41.8% vs Tatar 41.1% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Mantha 52.4%
Defensive zone
Tatar 59.2%
Neutral zone
Mantha 56.6%
Result
Tomas Tatar favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Mantha
Tatar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mantha
Tatar
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (225)
37.3% (268)
+2.3%
Power Play
34.0% (47)
41.4% (70)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Tatar has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tatar shoots left. Mantha is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Mantha shoots left. Tatar is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Mantha
Tatar
Home
39.4% (132)
37.1% (178)
Away
38.3% (141)
40.1% (162)
By Period
Mantha
Tatar
P1
46.2%
39.4%
P2
37.1%
38.1%
P3
30.0%
38.8%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
27.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mantha
26.0%▼
39.5%
38.8%
Tatar
42.0%▲
38.0%
38.5%