Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.8%). Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.8% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Finley 61.1%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 51.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 52.2%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Finley
Mitchell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (275)
50.7% (2,523)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.3% (35)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
50.7% (473)
+2.4%
On power play, Mitchell has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Finley
Mitchell
Home
53.8% (199)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
46.7% (122)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Finley
Mitchell
P1
54.7%
54.8%
P2
47.4%
48.1%
P3
52.1%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
51.1%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%