Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.6% vs Zajac 51.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 64.4%
Defensive zone
Zajac 63.1%
Neutral zone
Zajac 64.1%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Richards
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Richards
Zajac
Last 5: Richards 5-0 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (352)
51.8% (986)
-2.1%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
61.1% (185)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (116)
42.1% (216)
+7.0%
On power play, Zajac has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Richards is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Richards shoots left. Zajac is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Richards
Zajac
Home
49.4% (247)
54.0% (672)
Away
49.6% (228)
49.2% (715)
By Period
Richards
Zajac
P1
53.8%
53.1%
P2
47.7%
52.2%
P3
47.3%
50.1%
OT
0.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Mike Richards |