Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Oshie wins 59.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 50.0% vs Zajac 52.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 78.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 90.2%
Neutral zone
Zajac 65.0%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Oshie
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Oshie
Zajac
Last 5: Oshie 3-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
3
0
Oshie
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Oshie
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Oshie
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (58)
53.9% (851)
-2.2%
Power Play
49.1% (169)
49.0% (49)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
48.9% (190)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Oshie is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Oshie shoots right. Zajac is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Oshie
Zajac
Home
51.3% (113)
53.3% (533)
Away
48.8% (125)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Oshie
Zajac
P1
53.8%
54.3%
P2
47.5%
51.8%
P3
51.2%
53.2%
OT
28.6%
14.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |