Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.9% vs 39.2%). Look for McMillan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMillan wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.7% vs Lewis 41.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMillan 50.8%
Defensive zone
McMillan 52.3%
Neutral zone
McMillan 53.6%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
McMillan
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McMillan
Lewis
Last 6: McMillan 4-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMillan
1
0
McMillan
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
McMillan
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMillan
3
1
McMillan
Lewis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (248)
39.6% (351)
-0.1%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
60.0% (5)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
33.3% (27)
-7.0%
On power play, Lewis has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. McMillan is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (75).
McMillan shoots left. Lewis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
McMillan
Lewis
Home
36.3% (160)
38.2% (178)
Away
42.1% (133)
40.1% (207)
By Period
McMillan
Lewis
P1
40.7%
39.9%
P2
42.3%
40.1%
P3
34.5%
36.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
38.9%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |