Scouting Report
Trevor Moore holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Buchnevich wins 28.7% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 36.3% vs Moore 46.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 65.7%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 73.3%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 69.3%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Buchnevich
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Buchnevich
Moore
Last 5: Buchnevich 1-4 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
2
Buchnevich
Moore
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
0
2
Buchnevich
Moore
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
28.6% (192)
35.7% (28)
-7.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
44.4% (9)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
0.0% (2)
+30.8%
On penalty kill, Buchnevich has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Buchnevich shoots left. Moore is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Moore
Home
30.4% (112)
37.0% (27)
Away
29.4% (102)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Buchnevich
Moore
P1
27.7%
31.6%
P2
33.3%
27.3%
P3
27.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
29.9%
Moore
22.0%▼
33.0%
35.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Trevor Moore |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Trevor Moore |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Trevor Moore |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Trevor Moore |