Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Zegras 37.0% (+21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 69.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 95.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 92.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Copp
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Copp
Zegras
Last 5: Copp 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (728)
33.0% (264)
+21.4%
Power Play
56.0% (75)
32.1% (56)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
50.0% (2)
-4.2%
On power play, Copp has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Copp is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Copp shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Copp
Zegras
Home
54.4% (441)
35.3% (173)
Away
53.4% (421)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Copp
Zegras
P1
52.0%
33.0%
P2
55.8%
35.7%
P3
54.2%
29.7%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.7%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.9%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |