Scouting Report
Mike Ribeiro holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Zegras 39.5% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 51.5%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 57.3%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 51.3%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Ribeiro
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
39.0% (1,703)
+3.9%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
38.5% (148)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
25.0% (8)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Zegras
Home
44.1% (3,144)
40.5% (908)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Ribeiro
Zegras
P1
42.6%
40.0%
P2
44.3%
38.6%
P3
41.8%
38.2%
OT
49.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%