Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.7% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.2%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 87.5%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 69.8%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Tavares
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Tavares
Dellandrea
Last 7: Tavares 2-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Dellandrea
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
3
Tavares
Dellandrea
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (956)
54.1% (355)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.7% (244)
53.8% (13)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
47.6% (143)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dellandrea
Home
57.4% (636)
54.3% (278)
Away
57.1% (587)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Tavares
Dellandrea
P1
57.1%
54.2%
P2
57.0%
50.6%
P3
57.6%
51.8%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |