Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.3%). Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.8%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 62.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.5%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Zacha
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Zacha
Dellandrea
Last 6: Zacha 1-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
4
Zacha
Dellandrea
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Zacha
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
54.1% (355)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
53.8% (13)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
47.6% (143)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Zacha shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Zacha
Dellandrea
Home
51.6% (438)
54.3% (278)
Away
52.4% (445)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Zacha
Dellandrea
P1
57.0%
54.2%
P2
48.9%
50.6%
P3
50.5%
51.8%
OT
42.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |