Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.5% vs Bozak 55.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 88.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 60.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 63.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Soderberg
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Soderberg
Bozak
Last 10: Soderberg 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
2
Soderberg
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
4
0
Soderberg
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Soderberg
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (559)
56.4% (837)
-9.4%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
60.8% (186)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (83)
33.3% (36)
-0.8%
On even strength, Bozak has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Soderberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Soderberg shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Bozak
Home
46.1% (369)
58.7% (516)
Away
48.3% (350)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Soderberg
Bozak
P1
49.2%
55.7%
P2
47.7%
53.4%
P3
44.7%
59.7%
OT
33.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
38.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |