Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Bozak 53.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 66.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 66.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Coyle
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coyle
Bozak
Last 5: Coyle 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Coyle
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Coyle
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
53.8% (1,244)
-7.2%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
53.1% (356)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
49.1% (175)
+40.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Coyle is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Coyle shoots right. Bozak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bozak
Home
50.4% (367)
57.7% (892)
Away
42.5% (351)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Coyle
Bozak
P1
46.8%
54.0%
P2
47.9%
54.4%
P3
45.9%
51.0%
OT
14.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |