Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.7%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brière wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 49.1% vs Bozak 48.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 51.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 74.8%
Neutral zone
Bozak 55.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Brière
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brière
Bozak
Last 5: Brière 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Brière
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brière
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (286)
48.8% (1,036)
+0.9%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
53.8% (225)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.1% (138)
-39.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Brière is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Brière shoots right. Bozak is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Brière
Bozak
Home
53.8% (158)
50.8% (608)
Away
44.8% (192)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Brière
Bozak
P1
52.1%
48.0%
P2
42.7%
48.1%
P3
52.1%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |