Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Arnott wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.2% vs Bozak 54.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 61.8%
Defensive zone
Arnott 63.4%
Neutral zone
Arnott 61.4%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Arnott
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Arnott
Bozak
Last 10: Arnott 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
5
Arnott
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (777)
54.2% (962)
-5.2%
Power Play
58.1% (93)
57.9% (266)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
52.1% (188)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Arnott is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Arnott shoots right. Bozak is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Arnott
Bozak
Home
51.1% (460)
58.6% (732)
Away
49.3% (434)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Arnott
Bozak
P1
45.3%
54.1%
P2
54.2%
55.0%
P3
49.8%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
65.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |