Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 61-33 in 94 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 62.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 82.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 69.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Tavares
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
61
(94 meetings)
33
61
Tavares
Bozak
Last 10: Tavares 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
15
16
Tavares
Bozak
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
12
30
Tavares
Bozak
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
6
15
Tavares
Bozak
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,150)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.4% (4,292)
55.2% (1,990)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Tavares shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bozak
Home
56.1% (10,525)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
52.7% (10,570)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Tavares
Bozak
P1
55.0%
53.2%
P2
54.1%
52.8%
P3
54.0%
54.5%
OT
55.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |