Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.8% vs Bozak 54.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 56.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 54.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Koivu
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Koivu
Bozak
Last 6: Koivu 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Koivu
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (592)
57.3% (483)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.2% (96)
57.5% (73)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (123)
42.3% (104)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Koivu is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Koivu shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bozak
Home
52.8% (386)
57.8% (332)
Away
53.4% (425)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Koivu
Bozak
P1
51.7%
52.7%
P2
54.8%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |