Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 62.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 55.9% vs Bozak 54.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 63.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 69.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 58.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kadri
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kadri
Bozak
Last 5: Kadri 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Kadri
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (533)
57.3% (483)
-2.3%
Power Play
63.0% (162)
57.5% (73)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
42.3% (104)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kadri is 62.8% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Kadri shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Kadri
Bozak
Home
62.2% (349)
57.8% (332)
Away
51.6% (368)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Kadri
Bozak
P1
57.3%
52.7%
P2
56.5%
55.6%
P3
56.9%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
56.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |