Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 51.5% vs Bozak 55.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 61.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 63.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Bjugstad
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Bjugstad
Bozak
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Bjugstad
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
5
Bjugstad
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
56.4% (837)
-6.0%
Power Play
60.6% (104)
60.8% (186)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
33.3% (36)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Bjugstad is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bozak
Home
52.9% (461)
58.7% (516)
Away
50.4% (407)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bozak
P1
51.5%
55.7%
P2
53.8%
53.4%
P3
49.8%
59.7%
OT
60.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
43.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |