Scouting Report
Patrice Cormier holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cormier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cormier wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cormier 53.3% vs Bozak 54.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 54.9%
Defensive zone
Cormier 50.8%
Neutral zone
Cormier 53.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Cormier
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cormier
Bozak
Last 5: Cormier 4-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cormier
2
1
Cormier
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cormier
2
0
Cormier
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cormier
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (59)
54.2% (962)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
57.9% (266)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
52.1% (188)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Cormier has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Cormier is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Cormier shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Cormier
Bozak
Home
66.7% (24)
58.6% (732)
Away
53.5% (43)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Cormier
Bozak
P1
60.0%
54.1%
P2
55.6%
55.0%
P3
60.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cormier
52.0%▼
57.7%
58.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Patrice Cormier |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Patrice Cormier |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Patrice Cormier |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Patrice Cormier |