Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Rakell wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 44.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Rakell 61.9%
Defensive zone
Rakell 54.4%
Neutral zone
Rakell 60.7%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Rakell
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Rakell
Bozak
Last 10: Rakell 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Rakell
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
6
Rakell
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
8
4
Rakell
Bozak
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,886)
53.7% (9,596)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.2% (203)
55.2% (1,990)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (23)
48.0% (1,094)
-26.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Rakell is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Rakell shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Rakell
Bozak
Home
46.6% (1,055)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
42.4% (1,058)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Rakell
Bozak
P1
45.6%
53.2%
P2
41.9%
52.8%
P3
46.1%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
44.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |