Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Bozak wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 55.4% vs Rask 46.2% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 65.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 75.8%
Neutral zone
Rask 52.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Bozak
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Bozak
Rask
Last 10: Bozak 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Bozak
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
8
1
Bozak
Rask
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
3
9
Bozak
Rask
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (271)
45.5% (442)
+12.8%
Power Play
60.6% (33)
44.7% (38)
+15.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Bozak is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Bozak shoots right. Rask is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Bozak
Rask
Home
60.7% (206)
45.6% (228)
Away
52.3% (176)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Bozak
Rask
P1
57.3%
45.1%
P2
57.8%
45.5%
P3
56.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
54.4%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Victor Rask |