Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Bozak wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 56.2% vs Gourde 41.8% (+19.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 89.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 70.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 87.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Bozak
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bozak
Gourde
Last 7: Bozak 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
0
Bozak
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
0
Bozak
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bozak
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,119)
39.8% (128)
+16.7%
Power Play
58.4% (226)
25.0% (12)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
26.1% (23)
+23.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Bozak shoots right. Gourde is 32.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Bozak
Gourde
Home
60.1% (682)
43.2% (95)
Away
53.2% (684)
27.9% (68)
By Period
Bozak
Gourde
P1
57.7%
43.1%
P2
53.7%
33.3%
P3
59.0%
34.5%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |