Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Johnson 48.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 55.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 54.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 56.4%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Shaw
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shaw
Johnson
Last 6: Shaw 2-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Shaw
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Shaw
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
49.4% (399)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
52.9% (34)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
37.5% (40)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Shaw is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Shaw shoots right. Johnson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Shaw
Johnson
Home
50.0% (152)
49.8% (229)
Away
45.3% (232)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Shaw
Johnson
P1
44.8%
45.0%
P2
46.0%
49.1%
P3
50.4%
50.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |