Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Johnson 50.1% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 60.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Staal
Johnson
Last 6: Staal 1-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Staal
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (930)
51.8% (548)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.4% (125)
51.7% (58)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (60)
40.7% (113)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (443).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
53.5% (561)
53.6% (371)
Away
48.9% (554)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
50.1%
50.9%
P2
50.3%
50.2%
P3
53.1%
48.9%
OT
53.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |