Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.7%). Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Latta wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Latta 48.3% vs Johnson 48.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.0%
Defensive zone
Latta 51.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.0%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Latta
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Latta
Johnson
Last 7: Latta 3-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Latta
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Latta
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Latta
3
0
Latta
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Latta
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (329)
49.5% (828)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.9% (142)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
36.8% (133)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Latta has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Latta is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Latta shoots right. Johnson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Latta
Johnson
Home
50.6% (162)
50.7% (564)
Away
45.1% (173)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Latta
Johnson
P1
48.2%
51.2%
P2
46.5%
47.5%
P3
48.8%
48.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Latta
44.0%▼
51.5%
47.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |