Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.1% vs Johnson 49.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Colton 56.6%
Neutral zone
Colton 55.8%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Colton
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Colton
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Colton
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,803)
49.8% (5,396)
+1.8%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
54.6% (885)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
42.3% (707)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Colton is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (697).
Colton shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Colton
Johnson
Home
52.0% (1,015)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
50.3% (979)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Colton
Johnson
P1
53.7%
50.1%
P2
52.6%
50.6%
P3
47.9%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Ross Colton |