Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.0% vs 42.8%). Cates wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Motte 44.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Motte 55.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 50.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.7%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Cates
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cates
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Cates
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Cates
Motte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,786)
43.6% (424)
+0.5%
Power Play
42.9% (254)
41.7% (12)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
37.9% (66)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Motte has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Cates shoots left. Motte is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Cates
Motte
Home
43.9% (1,708)
45.2% (248)
Away
42.2% (1,705)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Cates
Motte
P1
44.5%
44.6%
P2
43.7%
42.1%
P3
41.2%
41.8%
OT
29.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |