Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.8% vs 42.4%). Motte wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Motte 44.0% vs Trenin 43.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Motte 52.9%
Defensive zone
Trenin 50.8%
Neutral zone
Trenin 52.0%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Motte
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Motte
Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Motte
Trenin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Motte
Trenin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Motte
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (424)
43.0% (356)
+0.6%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
33.3% (6)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (66)
41.0% (105)
-3.1%
On power play, Motte has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Motte is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Motte shoots left. Trenin is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Motte
Trenin
Home
45.2% (248)
45.6% (248)
Away
40.6% (254)
38.8% (219)
By Period
Motte
Trenin
P1
44.6%
42.7%
P2
42.1%
47.7%
P3
41.8%
35.2%
Final 5 min
41.4%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Trenin
44.0%▲
40.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Yakov Trenin |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |