Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.6% vs Filppula 54.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Filppula 67.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 76.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 60.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Kesler
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kesler
Filppula
Last 6: Kesler 4-2 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
0
2
Kesler
Filppula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
0
Kesler
Filppula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Filppula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (231)
53.5% (226)
+4.1%
Power Play
65.5% (29)
60.6% (94)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (43)
33.3% (3)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Kesler shoots right. Filppula is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Kesler
Filppula
Home
58.8% (114)
61.2% (152)
Away
56.6% (189)
50.3% (171)
By Period
Kesler
Filppula
P1
60.8%
61.2%
P2
60.0%
56.4%
P3
52.5%
49.0%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |