Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.2% vs Fiddler 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 74.9%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 76.3%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 61.8%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Richards
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Richards
Fiddler
Last 5: Richards 3-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Fiddler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Richards
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (370)
56.8% (433)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
43.5% (23)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
38.7% (163)
+0.3%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Richards is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Richards shoots left. Fiddler is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Richards
Fiddler
Home
52.3% (214)
54.5% (301)
Away
45.8% (227)
48.7% (318)
By Period
Richards
Fiddler
P1
47.3%
55.9%
P2
53.2%
47.2%
P3
46.3%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Mike Richards |