Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 50.4% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 52.0%
Defensive zone
Joshua 57.1%
Neutral zone
Joshua 54.4%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Joshua
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Joshua
Rask
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Joshua
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (289)
50.0% (4,428)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
54.3% (363)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (20)
35.2% (54)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Rask has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Joshua is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Joshua shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Joshua
Rask
Home
48.3% (149)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
52.4% (170)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Joshua
Rask
P1
55.1%
50.7%
P2
44.7%
48.9%
P3
51.7%
50.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
32.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Victor Rask |