Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 93.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 90.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 91.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Nelson
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Nelson
Trocheck
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
4
Nelson
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
Nelson
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
4
Nelson
Trocheck
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
57.6% (1,061)
-11.5%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
65.1% (338)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
49.5% (101)
-19.1%
On power play, Trocheck has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Nelson
Trocheck
Home
48.7% (419)
61.8% (735)
Away
41.3% (368)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Nelson
Trocheck
P1
44.6%
57.7%
P2
47.3%
57.9%
P3
43.0%
60.4%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |