Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Ryan wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Trocheck 50.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 52.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 72.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 58.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Ryan
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Ryan
Trocheck
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
4
Ryan
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Ryan
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
3
Ryan
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
50.3% (1,280)
+4.6%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
52.7% (201)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
46.4% (183)
-4.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Ryan is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Ryan shoots right. Trocheck is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Ryan
Trocheck
Home
57.7% (355)
52.4% (828)
Away
52.8% (352)
48.0% (836)
By Period
Ryan
Trocheck
P1
57.9%
52.6%
P2
53.2%
50.9%
P3
54.8%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
34.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |