Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 56.9%). Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Frost wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 56.3% vs Trocheck 56.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 66.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 70.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Frost
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Frost
Trocheck
Last 6: Frost 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Frost
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Frost
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (745)
58.0% (666)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.5% (172)
64.8% (165)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
88.9% (9)
43.4% (152)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Frost shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Frost
Trocheck
Home
57.3% (497)
55.3% (436)
Away
56.6% (429)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Frost
Trocheck
P1
60.1%
56.4%
P2
56.0%
58.7%
P3
54.7%
55.5%
OT
63.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |