Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 46.2% vs Trocheck 48.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 78.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 60.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 72.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Varone
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Varone
Trocheck
Last 6: Varone 4-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Varone
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
0
Varone
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
3
0
Varone
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
48.4% (446)
-3.0%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
56.7% (30)
-20.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Varone is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Varone shoots left. Trocheck is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Varone
Trocheck
Home
44.5% (119)
55.5% (238)
Away
45.4% (207)
42.0% (243)
By Period
Varone
Trocheck
P1
44.5%
50.0%
P2
38.6%
44.0%
P3
53.5%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Phil Varone |