Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Sobotka 51.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 74.2%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 69.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 57.6%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Shaw
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Shaw
Sobotka
Last 5: Shaw 2-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Sobotka
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
3
Shaw
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
52.9% (522)
-7.1%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
46.7% (15)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
46.1% (76)
-4.0%
On power play, Shaw has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Sobotka is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Shaw
Sobotka
Home
50.0% (152)
53.8% (314)
Away
45.3% (232)
49.8% (299)
By Period
Shaw
Sobotka
P1
44.8%
52.2%
P2
46.0%
52.2%
P3
50.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |