Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.9% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 62.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Carter
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Carter
Sobotka
Last 6: Carter 2-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Carter
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
2
3
Carter
Sobotka
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (471)
62.0% (637)
-10.0%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
62.6% (91)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (41)
60.0% (85)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Carter shoots right. Sobotka is 68.1% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Carter
Sobotka
Home
53.6% (330)
65.8% (371)
Away
50.6% (314)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Carter
Sobotka
P1
50.0%
63.0%
P2
55.6%
61.4%
P3
50.3%
60.7%
OT
59.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |