Scouting Report
Matt Coronato holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 42.2% vs Smith 39.9% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Coronato 58.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.4%
Neutral zone
Coronato 50.2%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Coronato
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (262)
33.5% (194)
+4.7%
Power Play
47.1% (70)
48.1% (27)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Coronato is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Coronato shoots right. Smith is 32.8% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Coronato
Smith
Home
39.8% (176)
33.6% (128)
Away
39.9% (158)
37.9% (95)
By Period
Coronato
Smith
P1
41.9%
37.1%
P2
37.6%
33.8%
P3
38.5%
33.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
40.0%▲
38.5%
39.8%
Smith
36.0%▬
37.0%
35.4%