Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eklund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Eklund 36.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 57.8%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 68.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 62.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Carlsson
Eklund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carlsson
Eklund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Eklund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Eklund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,873)
31.1% (267)
+9.7%
Power Play
43.2% (155)
50.0% (22)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
15.4% (13)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Carlsson is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,506).
Carlsson shoots left. Eklund is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Eklund
Home
42.2% (1,044)
31.3% (166)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
32.4% (136)
By Period
Carlsson
Eklund
P1
43.2%
30.3%
P2
36.2%
28.8%
P3
43.3%
37.2%
OT
40.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.8%
25.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
40.7%
Eklund
32.0%▲
29.5%
31.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | William Eklund |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |