Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Karlsson 54.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 75.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 53.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 52.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Drury
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Drury
Karlsson
Last 5: Drury 2-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Drury
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Drury
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
58.5% (135)
+2.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
80.0% (5)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
44.4% (18)
+6.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Drury is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Drury
Karlsson
Home
59.0% (417)
63.7% (91)
Away
59.2% (448)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Drury
Karlsson
P1
58.9%
54.4%
P2
58.3%
66.7%
P3
59.9%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jack Drury |